In the face of considerable military expenditures, Ukraine is grappling with a budgetary shortfall. Assets allocated for defense have already been significantly depleted, with 43% of the annual budget spent within just the initial four months. The head of the Parliament’s Financial Committee, Danylo Hetmantsev, suggests that one viable way to mitigate this deficit includes combating the shadow economy. This measure could potentially inject an additional ₴50-80 billion annually in the short-term. While the shadow economy in Ukraine totals around ₴500 billion (or about $12.5 billion) each year, Hetmantsev acknowledges that fully integrating this sector back into the official economy would be a lengthy process.
Another proposed remedy is the utilization of banks’ existing liquidity reserves to buy Domestic State Loan Bonds, also known as OVDPs. Budget sequestration is also on the table as a potential solution. However, the government is hesitant to employ this strategy due to the inevitable consequence of having to slash expenditures. Hetmantsev emphasizes, “There are billions, perhaps tens of billions, worth of expenses that could be reduced. But that’s not sufficient, as the Ministry of Defense is in need of funds amounting to hundreds of billions.”
The possibility of converting the remainder of funds in local budgets into military-purpose OVDPs is also discussed. An existing reserve of about ₴155 billion could be leveraged for this purpose. Despite the availability of these funds, this course of action may not be conducive to the goals of fiscal decentralization, according to Hetmantsev.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the main cause of Ukraine’s budget deficit?
Ukraine’s budget deficit mainly stems from increased military expenditures due to current defense needs. - How much of the defense budget has Ukraine spent in four months?
Ukraine has spent 43% of its planned annual defense budget within the first four months. - What is one approach to covering the deficit mentioned by Danylo Hetmantsev?
One approach to covering the budget deficit is tackling the shadow economy to recover additional funds for the state budget. - What are Domestic State Loan Bonds (OVDP)?
OVDPs are government securities issued to support financing of the state budget by borrowing from financial markets. - What is budget sequestration?
Budget sequestration involves mandatory spending cuts to government expenses to balance the budget. - Why is the government reluctant to use budget sequestration?
The government is reluctant to use sequestration as it wants to avoid reducing necessary expenses, especially during pressing times. - Is there another option for financing the defense budget discussed by Hetmantsev?
Yes, converting the surplus funds in local budgets into military OVDPs is considered, although it may conflict with fiscal decentralization goals.
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